December tends to be slower, but this year’s supply trends are creating a meaningful advantage for buyers. As we enter winter, inventory has been rising while buyer activity remains seasonally low. That combination gives buyers room to breathe — and room to negotiate. Here’s what’s happening beneath the surface: 1. Inventory Is Rising Faster Than Expected More homes have hit the market over the last three weeks than typical December patterns. This creates: More buyer options

Mortgage markets remain steady this week as several delayed economic reports finally made their way out following the government shutdown. The headline reading was the September PCE inflation report, which came in exactly as expected and continues the broader cooling trend we’ve seen this year. Core PCE, the measure the Federal Reserve pays closest attention to, eased from 2.9% to 2.8% year over year. Labor market data was mixed. ADP reported 32,000 job losses in November, jo

Most buyers assume they need more income or more savings to increase their buying power. But the fastest improvement doesn’t come from either of those — it comes from lowering credit utilization . December is the ideal month to optimize debt before stepping into a new year. 1. Why Utilization Matters More Than People Realize Mortgage underwriting looks at two key components of your revolving debt: Your balance-to-limit ratio Your minimum monthly payments Lower balances mean s

December is one of the best months of the year to negotiate seller credits, and that makes it the perfect time to explore payment-lowering tools like the 2/1 buydown  and the permanent buydown . Both reduce your monthly payment — but they work in very different ways. Here’s the simple breakdown buyers should know. 1. What a 2/1 Buydown Does (Short-Term Savings) A 2/1 buydown  lowers your rate by: 2% in Year 1 1% in Year 2 Back to normal in Year 3 This creates meaningful short

Many buyers spend months waiting for “the perfect rate,” but market timing rarely works out the way people hope. What makes a bigger difference — and leads to better outcomes — is having a rate-ready  strategy before the market moves. December is the perfect month to get ahead. 1. Rates Change Quickly — Opportunities Don’t Last Long Small dips can happen in a single day.Better pricing might last a few hours.Waiting to prepare often means missing the window entirely. Rate-prep

With inventory tight and demand strong, home prices should continue to be well supported into the foreseeable future, and we can analyze Household Formations and Completions to illustrate this point. A Household Formation occurs when an individual moves out of a parent's home to occupy their own residence or when a couple living together separates and the individual moving away obtains their own residence. These formations create demand for housing. When a builder completes c

Mortgage rates remained stable this week, trading within a narrow band and giving buyers a level of predictability we haven’t seen much of this year. Even though stability doesn’t make big market headlines, it’s often the most important environment for decision-making. Why Calm Markets Matter When rates are stable, buyers can plan with accuracy.Payment estimates become reliable, pre-approvals hold longer, and buyers avoid the emotional volatility that comes with sharp rate sw

With so many homeowners holding 2–3% mortgage rates, one of the biggest questions this year has been: “How do I move without giving up my lower rate?” The answer is the HELOC + first mortgage combo strategy  — an approach that allows you to keep your existing low-rate loan while using a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) to cover the difference needed for the new purchase or renovation. This strategy has become one of the most effective ways to upgrade without waiting for rat

In a higher-rate environment, many buyers ask, “Should I pay points to lower my rate?” Permanent buydowns can be a smart move — but they’re not always the right move. The key is understanding when the break-even makes financial sense and when you’re better off saving your cash or using credits elsewhere. What Is a Permanent Buydown? A permanent buydown is when a borrower pays “points” upfront to reduce the interest rate for the life of the loan. • 1 point = 1% of the loan amo

Most buyers assume the only way to lower their payment is by paying points or increasing their down payment. But there’s another option that’s often overlooked: the Lender-Paid Buydown (LPB). What Is a Lender-Paid Buydown? With LPB, the lender provides a credit at closing that permanently lowers your interest rate. It reduces your monthly payment without increasing your cash-to-close. The trade-off? You accept a slightly higher rate before  the credit — and the lender’s credi

Most buyers think their monthly payment is set in stone unless they refinance. But there’s another option: mortgage recasting  — and it’s one of the most practical tools in a market like this. What Is a Recast? A recast allows you to apply a lump-sum amount toward your principal balance and have the lender recalculate the payment  based on the new, lower balance. Your interest rate stays the same. Your loan term stays the same.Just the payment drops. Why It Matters Right Now

With the federal government officially reopening, markets are now turning their attention to the backlog of economic data that was delayed during the shutdown. Several major reports — including the monthly Jobs Report and the Consumer Price Index — were paused during the closure, leaving investors to navigate several weeks without the usual labor and inflation updates. As a result, mortgage markets have traded in a tight, stable range while waiting for clarity. Even without t

The start of the week sets the tone for everything that follows — in business, in markets, and in mortgage results. While most people see Monday as a reset, the best loan officers and buyers use it as a launch pad . Market Update Rates remain stable in the mid-6% range this week. Volatility has cooled as inflation data continues to show slow improvement. That stability has kept buyers cautiously active and given sellers more time to negotiate. The result: a balanced market —

This afternoon, the Federal Reserve announced a quarter-point rate cut , bringing its benchmark rate down by 0.25%. Markets expected this move — but what caught everyone’s attention was what came next. During the press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, saying that while the economy is cooling, the Fed will base future rate cuts on data rather than setting a preset path. In other words, no promises for additional cuts yet. At first, bonds improved sli

Mortgage rates have hovered in a tight range this month, with most 30-year fixed loans settling near the mid-6s. While many buyers are waiting for rates to fall further, those who stay engaged now are finding better opportunities — fewer bidding wars, more seller credits, and flexible negotiations. Why Consistency Still Wins The most successful buyers stay active during slower weeks. Checking updated pre-approvals, refreshing credit scores, and revisiting payment goals keeps

Mortgage rates are holding in a tight range today, and that stability is exactly what smart buyers, sellers, and homeowners should lean into. What the Data Shows The 10-year Treasury is trading around 4.04 % YCharts reports the 10-year yield at 4.05 % as of October 10 The latest FRED print has shown ~4.10 %, though with publication lag That means mortgage markets aren’t about to rocket or collapse overnight — they’re paused, waiting on catalysts: inflation data, Fed commentar

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